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Red207
900139.6
5518120.9
5544123.0
Blue367
3459144.4
2682155.0
6512113.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287327100200400500207367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#11
139.60.7
138.9139.6
Auto13.8
Teleop106.7
End24.8
blue by 15.4
155.00.5
153.7154.1
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
Second
5544
#19
123.00.3
122.7123.0
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
blue by 21.4
144.40.3
143.5143.8
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
Third
5518
#10
120.90.2
120.8120.9
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
red by 7.5
6512
#27
113.50.1
113.2113.3
Auto13.2
Teleop87.9
End12.8