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Red260
3459144.4
2682155.0
6512113.5
Blue294
3196119.4
2655171.5
6894112.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326276100200300400500260294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.00.5
151.7152.2
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
blue by 16.6
171.50.2
170.9171.1
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
Second
144.40.3
142.2142.5
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
red by 25.1
3196
#16
119.40.8
121.6120.8
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
Third
6512
#27
113.50.0
113.1113.1
Auto13.2
Teleop87.9
End12.8
red by 1.1
6894
#20
112.30.3
111.3111.6
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6