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Red412
3459144.4
2682155.0
6512113.5
Blue330
3196119.4
2655171.5
6894112.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324279100200400500412330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.00.4
152.2152.6
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
blue by 16.6
171.50.2
171.1171.3
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
Second
144.40.3
142.5142.8
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
red by 25.1
3196
#16
119.40.7
120.8120.0
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
Third
6512
#27
113.50.0
113.1113.0
Auto13.2
Teleop87.9
End12.8
red by 1.1
6894
#20
112.30.4
111.6112.0
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6