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Red183
333699.2
5518120.9
2682155.0
Blue170
3661101.7
900139.6
6908120.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062520100200400500183170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.01.3
135.8137.1
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
red by 15.4
900
#11
139.61.7
120.0121.7
Auto13.8
Teleop106.7
End24.8
Second
5518
#10
120.91.1
118.1119.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
red by 0.6
120.358.5
136.377.7
Auto12.7
Teleop98.2
End9.0
Third
3336
#34
99.20.1
111.1111.0
Auto16.1
Teleop77.4
End4.3
blue by 2.5
3661
#32
101.717.4
62.479.8
Auto13.0
Teleop78.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed