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Red160
6003118.0
5160141.3
4935135.6
Blue136
689999.4
4795162.3
6240102.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242560100200400500600160136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.314.1
91.8105.9
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
blue by 21.0
162.31.3
143.6144.9
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
Second
135.615.2
81.696.8
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
red by 33.3
6240
#24
102.30.1
101.6101.5
Auto15.9
Teleop73.7
End11.8
Third
6003
#31
118.015.9
75.090.9
Auto14.4
Teleop88.8
End14.9
red by 18.5
6899
#26
99.427.9
105.677.7
Auto12.1
Teleop83.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed