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Red246
4534111.0
2682155.0
3661101.7
Blue260
4290140.1
5160141.3
6240102.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962520100200400500600246260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.00.4
137.1137.5
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
red by 13.7
141.36.5
105.9112.5
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
Second
4534
#28
111.06.8
93.3100.1
Auto14.5
Teleop84.0
End14.0
blue by 29.0
4290
#14
140.110.4
97.0107.4
Auto13.8
Teleop109.8
End16.5
Third
3661
#32
101.710.8
79.890.5
Auto13.0
Teleop78.8
End8.4
blue by 0.6
6240
#24
102.30.6
101.5100.8
Auto15.9
Teleop73.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed