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Red102
656599.1
333699.2
6004117.6
Blue522
2642204.8
4795162.3
5518120.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1634040100200300500600700102522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#29
117.60.6
116.4117.0
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
blue by 87.1
204.82.6
165.6168.2
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
Second
3336
#34
99.21.1
110.3109.2
Auto16.1
Teleop77.4
End4.3
blue by 63.1
162.30.4
144.9145.3
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
Third
6565
#22
99.10.6
96.196.7
Auto14.6
Teleop77.1
End8.1
blue by 21.8
5518
#10
120.90.6
119.5120.0
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed