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Red298
3822110.7
2655171.5
726590.4
Blue422
5160141.3
5544123.0
2059177.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244315100200400500600298422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.8
165.2166.0
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
blue by 6.3
177.81.3
150.7152.0
Auto18.7
Teleop145.8
End14.9
Second
3822
#25
110.71.4
118.5117.1
Auto14.2
Teleop91.2
End2.6
blue by 30.6
141.34.4
112.5116.9
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
Third
7265
#30
90.44.4
85.990.4
Auto13.3
Teleop71.9
End7.3
blue by 32.6
5544
#19
123.03.2
109.4112.6
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed