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Red431
3229134.5
4795162.3
4935135.6
Blue120
4829105.9
727086.7
3661101.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3421980100300400500600431120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.31.1
145.3146.4
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
red by 56.4
4829
#21
105.95.5
91.496.9
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End9.4
Second
135.63.9
104.1108.0
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
red by 33.9
3661
#32
101.77.1
90.597.6
Auto13.0
Teleop78.8
End8.4
Third
3229
#13
134.59.2
103.8113.0
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End16.8
red by 47.9
7270
#36
86.710.3
77.788.0
Auto13.3
Teleop69.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed