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Red361
6240102.3
3196119.4
2682155.0
Blue271
727086.7
2059177.8
621487.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280271100150200250300350400450361271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.00.6
137.7138.2
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
blue by 22.8
177.82.3
152.0154.3
Auto18.7
Teleop145.8
End14.9
Second
3196
#16
119.46.7
121.3128.1
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
red by 32.1
6214
#37
87.33.9
92.796.6
Auto14.1
Teleop69.9
End5.3
Third
6240
#24
102.30.6
100.499.8
Auto15.9
Teleop73.7
End11.8
red by 15.7
7270
#36
86.74.0
88.092.0
Auto13.3
Teleop69.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed