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Red387
4534111.0
2642204.8
689999.4
Blue278
6512113.5
4795162.3
3796105.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298251100200400500600387278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.82.9
168.2171.0
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
red by 42.5
162.32.2
146.4148.6
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
Second
4534
#28
111.01.5
104.5106.0
Auto14.5
Teleop84.0
End14.0
blue by 2.4
6512
#27
113.51.0
102.9103.9
Auto13.2
Teleop87.9
End12.8
Third
6899
#26
99.43.6
95.098.6
Auto12.1
Teleop83.4
End1.9
blue by 6.3
3796
#15
105.71.2
105.6104.4
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed