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Red104
727086.7
656599.1
3196119.4
Blue356
6908120.3
3506136.2
5160141.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2292990100400500600700104356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#16
119.46.1
128.1134.2
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
blue by 21.9
141.35.6
123.2128.8
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
Second
6565
#22
99.11.2
96.697.8
Auto14.6
Teleop77.1
End8.1
blue by 37.1
3506
#12
136.23.8
119.2122.9
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
Third
7270
#36
86.72.8
92.094.7
Auto13.3
Teleop69.9
End1.3
blue by 33.7
120.33.7
93.697.3
Auto12.7
Teleop98.2
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed