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Red207
333699.2
4935135.6
6729116.5
Blue178
621487.3
6004117.6
3459144.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263277100200400500207178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.63.0
114.3117.3
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
blue by 8.9
144.41.2
136.3137.5
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
Second
6729
#18
116.50.7
122.8122.1
Auto14.4
Teleop88.7
End12.9
blue by 1.1
6004
#29
117.60.7
116.7116.0
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
Third
3336
#34
99.21.6
107.6106.0
Auto16.1
Teleop77.4
End4.3
red by 11.9
6214
#37
87.32.6
96.699.3
Auto14.1
Teleop69.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed