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Red346
726590.4
6004117.6
4290140.1
Blue140
3196119.4
4829105.9
7029101.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2332850100200400500600346140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#14
140.10.7
135.5136.2
Auto13.8
Teleop109.8
End16.5
red by 20.7
3196
#16
119.42.1
134.1132.0
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
Second
6004
#29
117.60.0
117.0116.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
red by 11.7
4829
#21
105.92.4
103.8106.2
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End9.4
Third
7265
#30
90.42.6
92.189.6
Auto13.3
Teleop71.9
End7.3
blue by 11.3
7029
#23
101.71.8
104.4106.2
Auto18.3
Teleop81.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed