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Red151
6500131.0
727086.7
5518120.9
Blue417
6729116.5
2642204.8
5854106.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1963410100300400500600151417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#17
131.01.3
133.0131.7
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End14.9
blue by 73.7
204.83.7
181.6185.3
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
Second
5518
#10
120.90.1
120.8120.7
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
red by 4.4
6729
#18
116.50.3
120.0119.6
Auto14.4
Teleop88.7
End12.9
Third
7270
#36
86.73.0
93.890.8
Auto13.3
Teleop69.9
End1.3
blue by 19.8
5854
#33
106.53.1
109.8106.6
Auto13.1
Teleop89.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed