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Red237
3796105.7
4534111.0
3229134.5
Blue371
900139.6
2682155.0
4935135.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203410100300400500237371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#13
134.50.8
138.1137.3
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End16.8
blue by 20.5
155.01.7
144.6146.3
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
Second
4534
#28
111.00.5
107.8108.3
Auto14.5
Teleop84.0
End14.0
blue by 28.5
900
#11
139.61.7
128.1129.8
Auto13.8
Teleop106.7
End24.8
Third
3796
#15
105.70.9
103.0103.9
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
blue by 29.9
135.62.0
124.7126.7
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed