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Red385
3459144.4
2655171.5
3796105.7
Blue20
726590.4
4829105.9
4534111.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326223010030040050060038520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.6
165.1164.5
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
red by 60.5
4534
#28
111.015.7
77.793.3
Auto14.5
Teleop84.0
End14.0
Second
144.41.5
130.0131.4
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
red by 38.5
4829
#21DQ
105.916.8
66.983.8
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End9.4
Third
3796
#15
105.71.9
109.1107.2
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
red by 15.3
7265
#30
90.426.9
104.677.7
Auto13.3
Teleop71.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed