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Red276
5518120.9
6894112.3
3822110.7
Blue126
727086.7
333699.2
5854106.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258246100200300400276126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
#10
120.90.2
119.2119.5
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
red by 14.5
5854
#33
106.58.5
106.0114.5
Auto13.1
Teleop89.7
End3.4
Second
6894
#20
112.311.6
77.789.3
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6
red by 13.2
3336
#34
99.20.7
111.0110.3
Auto16.1
Teleop77.4
End4.3
Third
3822
#25
110.71.2
120.3119.1
Auto14.2
Teleop91.2
End2.6
red by 24.0
7270
#36
86.710.1
87.877.7
Auto13.3
Teleop69.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed