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Red427
1533192.4
1102180.9
2640102.2
Blue227
4935126.2
1225129.7
6500136.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932100100300500600427227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.1
191.9192.0
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
red by 55.6
6500
#21
136.80.2
137.3137.0
Auto16.9
Teleop105.4
End14.4
Second
180.90.4
179.0179.4
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
red by 51.2
1225
#11
129.70.1
129.4129.5
Auto16.2
Teleop97.3
End16.9
Third
2640
#17
102.20.1
101.5101.6
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End6.1
blue by 24.0
4935
#12
126.20.1
126.3126.3
Auto18.6
Teleop98.4
End9.1