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Red361
1533192.4
1102180.9
2640102.2
Blue370
2655183.5
3196159.5
6004112.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622810200600800361370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.0
192.4192.4
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
red by 8.9
183.50.2
182.8183.0
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
Second
180.90.2
180.6180.9
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
red by 21.4
159.50.6
157.7158.3
Auto18.6
Teleop122.3
End21.3
Third
2640
#17
102.20.1
102.1102.2
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End6.1
blue by 10.1
6004
#26
112.30.3
113.0112.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4