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Red366
1102180.9
6894110.7
6500136.8
Blue171
1225129.7
2059205.6
587126.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823560100200400500600700366171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.91.0
178.4177.3
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
blue by 24.7
205.60.5
211.0210.5
Auto26.1
Teleop167.3
End12.1
Second
6500
#21
136.80.4
136.9136.5
Auto16.9
Teleop105.4
End14.4
red by 7.2
1225
#11
129.71.7
125.9127.6
Auto16.2
Teleop97.3
End16.9
Third
6894
#15
110.70.4
104.7105.0
Auto14.7
Teleop85.6
End11.3
blue by 15.6
587
#19
126.30.6
126.8127.3
Auto19.3
Teleop92.1
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed