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Red380
6004112.3
5511134.9
5724141.1
Blue176
9999117.8
1533192.4
3661112.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25435202004006008001,000380176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#10
141.11.1
144.9143.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.4
End16.7
blue by 51.3
192.40.5
196.2195.7
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
Second
134.90.3
128.0128.3
Auto17.9
Teleop112.3
End5.6
red by 17.1
9999
#25
117.82.5
102.4104.9
Auto15.2
Teleop91.9
End10.6
Third
6004
#26
112.30.8
117.6118.4
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4
blue by 0.5
3661
#29
112.82.5
105.1107.6
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed