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Red333
4829113.5
3506135.1
5511134.9
Blue224
587126.3
6888118.6
5160122.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192490100200400500600333224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#20
135.11.6
139.3137.6
Auto16.6
Teleop110.6
End3.9
red by 8.8
587
#19
126.30.5
126.9127.4
Auto19.3
Teleop92.1
End14.8
Second
134.91.1
128.4129.6
Auto17.9
Teleop112.3
End5.6
red by 12.0
5160
#23
122.82.2
132.5130.3
Auto16.6
Teleop92.6
End12.5
Third
4829
#18
113.50.4
115.1115.5
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End9.8
blue by 5.0
6888
#22
118.60.1
118.4118.6
Auto17.0
Teleop92.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed