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Red222
2640102.2
3737144.8
576295.9
Blue365
5724141.1
1225129.7
4290158.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083790100300500600700800222365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#16
144.81.5
152.4150.9
Auto21.0
Teleop100.1
End19.2
blue by 13.7
4290
#24
158.51.6
169.8168.2
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End11.9
Second
2640
#17
102.21.5
105.7104.1
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End6.1
blue by 39.0
5724
#10
141.10.0
142.8142.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.4
End16.7
Third
5762
#30
95.90.4
99.599.1
Auto14.8
Teleop78.6
End0.2
blue by 33.8
1225
#11
129.70.1
128.1128.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.3
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed