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Red300
1102180.9
3661112.8
3459152.6
Blue205
6894110.7
3506135.1
5679117.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3811910100300500600700800300205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.90.5
177.9178.4
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
red by 45.8
3506
#20
135.10.3
136.7136.4
Auto16.6
Teleop110.6
End3.9
Second
152.60.4
153.5153.8
Auto18.6
Teleop117.8
End13.9
red by 35.3
5679
#14
117.20.3
118.1117.8
Auto17.5
Teleop88.3
End8.7
Third
3661
#29
112.81.0
112.0112.9
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End8.6
red by 2.1
6894
#15
110.70.5
109.6110.1
Auto14.7
Teleop85.6
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed