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Red382
2655183.5
587126.3
3737144.8
Blue181
576295.9
5724141.1
4561179.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33230902004006008001,000382181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.50.7
180.5181.2
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
red by 4.5
4561
#13
179.01.3
184.9183.6
Auto19.0
Teleop141.0
End14.2
Second
3737
#16
144.81.6
149.4147.8
Auto21.0
Teleop100.1
End19.2
red by 3.6
5724
#10
141.10.0
142.8142.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.4
End16.7
Third
587
#19
126.30.2
127.6127.4
Auto19.3
Teleop92.1
End14.8
red by 30.4
5762
#30
95.90.1
98.698.5
Auto14.8
Teleop78.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed