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Red340
5518112.0
5160122.8
1533192.4
Blue250
4290158.5
6500136.8
4829113.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813240100200400500340250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.9
192.0191.1
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
red by 33.9
4290
#24
158.51.8
166.9165.1
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End11.9
Second
5160
#23
122.81.8
128.3126.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.6
End12.5
blue by 14.0
6500
#21
136.80.5
137.5138.0
Auto16.9
Teleop105.4
End14.4
Third
5518
#27
112.01.7
116.2114.4
Auto16.7
Teleop86.5
End4.9
blue by 1.5
4829
#18
113.50.3
116.1116.4
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed