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Red345
2059205.6
2640102.2
6888118.6
Blue165
5190204.6
4935126.2
6004112.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673390100200300400500600345165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.60.9
207.0206.1
Auto26.1
Teleop167.3
End12.1
red by 1.0
204.60.6
209.1208.5
Auto23.8
Teleop157.3
End24.3
Second
6888
#22
118.60.1
118.5118.6
Auto17.0
Teleop92.4
End9.2
blue by 7.6
4935
#12
126.20.9
129.7128.8
Auto18.6
Teleop98.4
End9.1
Third
2640
#17
102.20.9
102.7101.8
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End6.1
blue by 10.1
6004
#26
112.30.5
118.3117.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed