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Red85
4829113.5
9999117.8
5518112.0
Blue343
4561179.0
6894110.7
2655183.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173385010030050060070085343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#25
117.82.2
113.5115.7
Auto15.2
Teleop91.9
End10.6
blue by 65.7
183.50.1
181.2181.2
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
Second
4829
#18
113.50.6
116.4115.8
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End9.8
blue by 65.4
4561
#13
179.02.1
183.6181.5
Auto19.0
Teleop141.0
End14.2
Third
5518
#27
112.00.7
114.4113.7
Auto16.7
Teleop86.5
End4.9
red by 1.3
6894
#15
110.70.1
110.1110.0
Auto14.7
Teleop85.6
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed