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Red390
1533192.4
1225129.7
5679117.2
Blue284
4935126.2
3196159.5
587126.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462810100200400500600700800390284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.0
191.1191.1
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
red by 32.9
159.52.2
149.7151.9
Auto18.6
Teleop122.3
End21.3
Second
1225
#11
129.70.6
127.6128.2
Auto16.2
Teleop97.3
End16.9
red by 3.4
587
#19
126.30.6
127.4126.8
Auto19.3
Teleop92.1
End14.8
Third
5679
#14
117.20.7
117.8117.1
Auto17.5
Teleop88.3
End8.7
blue by 9.0
4935
#12
126.21.7
128.8127.2
Auto18.6
Teleop98.4
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed