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Red180
6888118.6
4290158.5
6004112.3
Blue416
481675.3
3737144.8
1102180.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291286200250300350400180416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#24
158.52.3
165.1162.8
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End11.9
blue by 22.4
180.90.1
178.4178.2
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
Second
6888
#22
118.60.6
118.6119.2
Auto17.0
Teleop92.4
End9.2
blue by 26.2
3737
#16
144.81.8
147.8146.0
Auto21.0
Teleop100.1
End19.2
Third
6004
#26
112.31.3
117.8116.5
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4
red by 37.0
4816
#28
75.30.6
75.675.1
Auto13.1
Teleop59.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed