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Red156
900140.8
6215118.7
7029110.3
Blue393
3680109.0
4534119.7
5160136.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280288150200250350400450156393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#15
140.80.1
140.7140.8
Auto15.6
Teleop104.5
End21.6
red by 4.0
5160
#20
136.80.2
137.0136.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.7
End17.0
Second
118.70.3
118.3118.7
Auto17.3
Teleop89.1
End15.8
blue by 1.0
119.70.1
119.3119.3
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End11.3
Third
7029
#16
110.30.2
110.5110.3
Auto18.5
Teleop82.6
End10.6
red by 1.3
3680
#17
109.00.2
109.2109.0
Auto14.1
Teleop85.8
End7.9