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Red262
4290150.8
4795171.7
2640107.1
Blue566
3506145.1
6502157.3
3402110.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332287100200400500600262566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.70.3
171.1171.4
Auto24.6
Teleop125.8
End20.9
red by 14.4
157.30.7
155.2155.9
Auto21.6
Teleop121.0
End16.5
Second
150.80.6
148.6149.3
Auto17.8
Teleop116.1
End17.7
red by 5.7
3506
#12
145.10.1
144.8144.9
Auto17.4
Teleop115.5
End12.2
Third
2640
#26
107.10.3
106.5106.8
Auto13.1
Teleop86.3
End7.0
blue by 3.2
3402
#18
110.30.1
109.9110.0
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3