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Red285
900140.8
6215118.7
7029110.3
Blue317
3680109.0
4534119.7
5160136.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288281100150200250350400450500285317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#15
140.80.2
140.6140.7
Auto15.6
Teleop104.5
End21.6
red by 4.0
5160
#20
136.80.2
137.2137.0
Auto17.4
Teleop103.7
End17.0
Second
118.70.5
117.9118.3
Auto17.3
Teleop89.1
End15.8
blue by 1.0
119.70.0
119.3119.3
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End11.3
Third
7029
#16
110.30.1
110.6110.5
Auto18.5
Teleop82.6
End10.6
red by 1.3
3680
#17
109.00.2
109.4109.2
Auto14.1
Teleop85.8
End7.9