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Red430
1533174.4
2655177.2
576298.6
Blue195
3680109.0
4534119.7
5160136.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372229100300500600700430195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.20.3
176.1176.4
Auto23.8
Teleop134.3
End21.8
red by 40.4
5160
#20
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.7
End17.0
Second
174.40.8
171.9172.7
Auto25.7
Teleop130.7
End22.8
red by 54.8
119.70.2
119.5119.7
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End11.3
Third
5762
#30
98.60.0
98.398.3
Auto16.5
Teleop79.3
End5.5
blue by 10.4
3680
#17
109.00.0
109.0109.0
Auto14.1
Teleop85.8
End7.9