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Red559
4795171.7
1225125.9
900140.8
Blue121
6894104.7
5727108.1
642692.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041750100300500600700559121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.70.4
165.0164.6
Auto24.6
Teleop125.8
End20.9
red by 63.6
5727
#19
108.11.2
109.9108.7
Auto14.7
Teleop78.7
End15.0
Second
900
#15
140.82.1
143.3145.5
Auto15.6
Teleop104.5
End21.6
red by 36.2
6894
#28
104.70.2
114.2114.0
Auto13.2
Teleop82.6
End8.7
Third
1225
#11
125.90.7
121.7122.4
Auto14.8
Teleop95.9
End19.8
red by 34.0
6426
#31
92.00.3
96.696.8
Auto14.7
Teleop68.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed