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Red215
3680109.0
3402110.3
3506145.1
Blue284
5607102.2
1533174.4
481684.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286246100200400500215284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
145.10.6
139.3139.9
Auto17.4
Teleop115.5
End12.2
blue by 29.3
174.41.1
156.8157.9
Auto25.7
Teleop130.7
End22.8
Second
3402
#18
110.30.5
109.9109.3
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3
red by 8.1
5607
#22
102.20.3
101.4101.1
Auto16.0
Teleop79.2
End9.2
Third
3680
#17
109.00.5
103.7104.2
Auto14.1
Teleop85.8
End7.9
red by 24.8
4816
#32DQ
84.10.1
83.783.6
Auto13.9
Teleop66.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed