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Red241
1533174.4
5727108.1
2655177.2
Blue169
3506145.1
6888107.6
6502157.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3293070100200400500600700241169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.20.6
174.7175.3
Auto23.8
Teleop134.3
End21.8
red by 19.8
157.31.1
150.4151.5
Auto21.6
Teleop121.0
End16.5
Second
174.41.6
160.6162.2
Auto25.7
Teleop130.7
End22.8
red by 29.3
3506
#12
145.11.5
140.3141.8
Auto17.4
Teleop115.5
End12.2
Third
5727
#19
108.10.1
107.4107.2
Auto14.7
Teleop78.7
End15.0
red by 0.5
6888
#14
107.60.1
113.4113.4
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed