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Red306
481684.1
4290150.8
1225125.9
Blue217
6894104.7
3737145.3
321588.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275248100200300400500306217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.81.1
139.4140.5
Auto17.8
Teleop116.1
End17.7
red by 5.5
145.31.6
133.2134.9
Auto20.0
Teleop103.9
End25.1
Second
1225
#11
125.90.4
123.5123.1
Auto14.8
Teleop95.9
End19.8
red by 21.3
6894
#28
104.70.6
112.4111.8
Auto13.2
Teleop82.6
End8.7
Third
4816
#32DQ
84.10.8
84.885.5
Auto13.9
Teleop66.5
End2.5
blue by 4.3
3215
#27
88.51.7
92.190.4
Auto14.1
Teleop70.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed