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Red197
642692.0
4291102.6
6215118.7
Blue87
476795.9
5727108.1
6639108.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294217010040050060070019787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.71.5
109.9111.5
Auto17.3
Teleop89.1
End15.8
red by 9.9
6639
#23
108.81.6
118.7117.1
Auto16.4
Teleop81.6
End9.4
Second
4291
#25
102.60.5
113.1112.6
Auto18.9
Teleop76.2
End6.7
blue by 5.5
5727
#19
108.11.0
111.0109.9
Auto14.7
Teleop78.7
End15.0
Third
6426
#31
92.00.2
96.496.6
Auto14.7
Teleop68.6
End6.3
blue by 3.9
4767
#24
95.90.5
96.596.0
Auto17.1
Teleop75.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed