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Red234
1225125.9
3402110.3
4829113.8
Blue151
900140.8
2640107.1
481684.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265265150200250300350400234151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#11
125.90.2
123.1123.3
Auto14.8
Teleop95.9
End19.8
blue by 14.9
900
#15
140.80.8
148.4147.6
Auto15.6
Teleop104.5
End21.6
Second
4829
#10
113.80.2
108.0108.2
Auto15.2
Teleop87.8
End12.2
red by 6.7
2640
#26
107.10.5
106.9107.3
Auto13.1
Teleop86.3
End7.0
Third
3402
#18
110.30.2
108.8108.6
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3
red by 26.1
4816
#32
84.11.1
85.586.6
Auto13.9
Teleop66.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed