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Red345
3750164.0
525178.1
5638120.1
Blue187
2472130.7
4009142.5
3883129.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397237100200300500600700345187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
178.11.0
172.8173.8
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
red by 35.7
4009
#10
142.50.6
143.1142.5
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End16.9
Second
164.01.3
157.8159.0
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
red by 33.4
2472
#15
130.70.1
130.5130.7
Auto19.0
Teleop102.4
End7.7
Third
5638
#24
120.10.1
119.4119.5
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
blue by 9.7
3883
#23
129.80.0
129.8129.8
Auto17.8
Teleop95.3
End12.3