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Red421
3130153.7
5576151.9
4198140.3
Blue309
3277126.7
3313142.4
4239130.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363290100200400500600421309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.70.0
153.3153.3
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
red by 11.3
142.40.0
142.2142.3
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
Second
151.90.9
147.3148.2
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
red by 21.2
4239
#13
130.70.4
129.5129.9
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
Third
4198
#18
140.30.7
136.7137.3
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
red by 13.6
3277
#21
126.70.4
125.6126.0
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5