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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Great Northern Regional
Red240
3130153.7
5576151.9
4198140.3
Blue346
3277126.7
3313142.4
4239130.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372287100200400500600240346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#9
153.70.1
153.3→153.5
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
red by 11.3
3313
#8
142.40.0
142.3→142.3
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
Second
5576
#3
151.90.9
148.2→149.1
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
red by 21.2
4239
#13
130.70.4
129.9→130.3
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
Third
4198
#18
140.30.7
137.3→138.1
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
red by 13.6
3277
#21
126.70.3
126.0→126.3
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5