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Qual 102018 Great Northern Regional
Red203
4818131.9
2220130.7
1986146.5
Blue334
6175127.6
4009142.5
3130153.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304306150200250350400450500203334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#46
146.55.6
148.5→154.1
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
blue by 7.2
3130
#9
153.79.1
128.0→137.2
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Second
4818
#19
131.98.5
95.7→104.2
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
blue by 10.6
4009
#10
142.58.8
104.5→113.3
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End16.9
Third
2220
#20
130.710.1
89.8→99.9
Auto19.6
Teleop99.4
End12.5
red by 3.1
6175
#27
127.611.1
90.3→101.4
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed