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Red155
4181136.2
3007123.6
7048130.8
Blue224
3883129.8
2883148.5
7257116.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274278200250300350155224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#11
136.210.7
87.898.5
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
blue by 12.2
2883
#12
148.56.7
112.6119.4
Auto16.4
Teleop115.1
End17.1
Second
7048
#14
130.813.6
77.791.4
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9
red by 1.0
3883
#23
129.810.0
103.4113.3
Auto17.8
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
3007
#31
123.69.3
99.0108.3
Auto20.1
Teleop97.3
End7.2
red by 7.0
7257
#33
116.511.0
77.788.8
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed