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Qual 122018 Great Northern Regional
Red286
3750164.0
3754104.7
3298105.6
Blue322
4674123.1
3275124.9
525178.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612990100200400500600286322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#5
164.010.0
96.6→106.6
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
blue by 14.1
525
#2
178.16.8
120.2→127.0
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
Second
3298
#43
105.66.3
90.2→96.5
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.3
blue by 19.3
3275
#35
124.910.4
89.9→100.3
Auto15.4
Teleop96.4
End12.2
Third
3754
#34
104.712.6
84.0→96.6
Auto15.4
Teleop80.1
End6.7
blue by 18.4
4674
#44
123.111.5
85.7→97.1
Auto15.9
Teleop91.8
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed