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Red168
6453121.7
3277126.7
313498.9
Blue141
5638120.1
5658137.6
1792133.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29426702004006008001,0001,200168141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#21
126.74.5
110.9115.4
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5
blue by 10.9
5658
#22
137.610.1
88.999.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End21.9
Second
6453
#41
121.711.4
98.7110.1
Auto14.3
Teleop90.9
End14.5
blue by 12.1
1792
#26
133.88.9
94.8103.6
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End8.8
Third
3134
#28
98.912.8
87.5100.3
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End9.0
blue by 21.2
5638
#24
120.110.7
97.1107.8
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed