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Red347
4360127.2
4198140.3
6047117.3
Blue205
2220130.7
2531119.4
3102121.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392890100200400500347205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#18
140.39.6
96.6106.2
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
red by 9.6
2220
#20
130.75.2
99.9105.1
Auto19.6
Teleop99.4
End12.5
Second
4360
#30
127.26.7
78.585.3
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End20.3
red by 6.2
3102
#36
121.19.2
102.0111.1
Auto18.4
Teleop88.1
End9.7
Third
6047
#17
117.311.0
78.289.2
Auto15.0
Teleop84.7
End20.5
blue by 2.1
2531
#32
119.411.1
89.4100.5
Auto15.9
Teleop86.3
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed