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Qual 172018 Great Northern Regional
Red248
1986146.5
2472130.7
7235100.2
Blue296
3883129.8
5576151.9
3367102.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242630100200400500600248296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#46Sur
146.52.2
154.1→156.3
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
blue by 5.3
5576
#3
151.93.2
114.5→117.7
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
Second
2472
#15
130.710.7
103.0→113.7
Auto19.0
Teleop102.4
End7.7
red by 0.8
3883
#23
129.85.5
113.3→118.8
Auto17.8
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
7235
#42
100.25.1
89.2→94.3
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End10.2
blue by 1.8
3367
#47Sur
102.07.1
96.1→103.2
Auto18.1
Teleop74.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed